This blog is tracking major news, updates, poll data, examples of media bias and more on the 2022 midterm elections.
Nikki Haley Calls 2022 a Make-or-Break Election
August 7, 2022
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Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley on Sunday argued that the 2022 midterms will be a make-or-break election for the Republican Party.
"If we don’t win in 2022, there won’t be a 2024," Haley told "Fox News Sunday" host Mike Emanuel. "We need to stay humble, disciplined, and win that, and then if there’s a place for me, I’ve never lost a race, I’m not going to start now." She also indicated that former President Donald Trump will "decide for himself if he wants to run again" in the 2024 presidential election.
DeSantis Releases First Re-Election Camapgin Ad
August 5, 2022
Incumbent Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) released his first 2022 campaign advertisement this week.
DeSantis, who’s expected to retain the office in the general election, is depicted in the ad receiving scores of thank you letters from his constituents, and entering an auditorium to the deafening sounds of applause.
Casey DeSantis, the governor’s wife, tweeted the ad on Wednesday, and said her husband “has received thousands of letters from across the state and around the world thanking him for his leadership.”
Florida’s primary elections will be held on August 23.
RELATED: KEEP FLORIDA FREE: DeSantis releases first re-election ad (The Post Millennial, Lean Right bias)
Media Reacts to Kansas Abortion Referendum
August 4, 2022
Kansas — where former President Donald Trump won 56% of the vote in 2020 — rejected a ballot measure to remove its constitutional abortion protections, rattling conservatives and encouraging Democrats.
Kansas saw record turnout on Tuesday, with over 900,000 votes cast in the aboriton referendum. Analysts across the spectrum said the surprise result gave Democrats "new hope" for 2022. One Planned Parenthood official called Kansas "a model for a path to restoring reproductive rights across the country." Meanwhile, a National Review writer called the vote a victory for "cruelty," implying it was comparable to slavery.
Arizona GOP Gubernatorial Candidate Claims Election Fraud Ahead of Primary
July 29, 2022
Earlier this week, Kari Lake, one of the leads for the GOP’s gubernatorial nomination in Arizona told the North Valley Constitutional Republicans that “we’re already detecting” examples of election fraud in the 2022 race.
Lake reportedly made the claim several times during the event but did not provide specific examples. Lake is a supporter of former President Donald Trump and has repeated his false claims that widespread election fraud cost him the 2020 presidential election.
Recent polls suggest that Lake and primary opponent Karrin Taylor Robson are neck-and-neck. Trump has endorsed Lake; former Vice President Mike Pence and outgoing GOP Gov. Mike Ducey have endorsed Taylor Robson. Only one will emerge when voters head to the poll for Arizona’s 2022 primaries on Tuesday, Aug. 2.
RELATED: Dueling polls tell two stories in Arizona Republican governor race (The Center Square)
Democratic Promotion of Fringe GOP Primary Candidates Draws Criticism
July 28, 2022
Some Democrats and Republicans criticized a "spoiler strategy" by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) and others to hurt Republicans in the general election by boosting controversial fringe candidates in the primaries.
Politico (Lean Left bias) reported Wednesday that some House Democrats were "aghast" after the DCCC spent hundreds of thousands of dollars promoting Trump-endorsed John Gibbs over Rep. Peter Meijer (R-Mich.), who supported impeachment. "No race is worth compromising your values in that way," Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D-Fla.) said.
The right also took issue with the DCCC's strategy; Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.) called it "disgusting," and the Washington Examiner (Lean Right bias) framed Democrats as "meddling." However, DCCC chairman Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.) defended the tactic, saying, "We have a high bar for that ... sometimes, it does make sense."
2022 Midterm Elections on Track to Become Most Expensive of All-Time
July 25, 2022
The 2022 midterm elections are shaping up to be the most expensive of all-time, according to estimates from Kantar Media's Campaign Media Analysis Group (CMAG).
Kantar CMAG forecasts that candidates will spend $8.4 billion in political advertisments this year, which would nearly double the $5.4 billion spent in the 2018 midterm elections. If the number continues to increase, it would rival the $9.0 billion spent during the 2020 election.
Steve Passwaiter, the Vice President & General Manager of Kantar CMAG, told Forbes (Center bias) that the estimated $8.4 billion figure will be even higher when "unmeasurable platforms" like direct mail and texting are factored in. He also said that inflation and the current economy will have little to no effect on political spending this upcoming election season.
O’Rourke, Abbott Battle for Fundraising in Texas Governor’s Race
July 22, 2022
Incumbent Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke (D) have combined to raise nearly $80 million in the state’s 2022 gubernatorial race.
O’Rourke raised $40.9 million as of June 30, 2022, compared to $37 million for Abbott.. However, Abbott still has twice as much cash on hand as O’Rourke, and he’s spent over $50 million on his re-election campaign. O’Rourke has spent nearly $16 million in his challenge bid.
Besides a week-long period in mid-May, O’Rourke consistently raised more than Abbott dating back to December 2021. The mass shooting in Uvalde, Texas on May 24 seemed to boost O’Rourke’s fundraising more than Abbott’s.
RELATED: Here’s how much Greg Abbott and Beto O’Rourke have raised in the race for Texas governor (The Texas Tribune, Lean Left bias)
Campaigns Increase Security Amid Heightened Death Threats
July 21, 2022
AP Politics (Lean Left bias) and Wired (Center bias) both reported Thursday on the security measures campaigns are taking this election cycle in response to heightened threats, including death threats.
A former Wisconsin election official told AP that this year's security measures, including hiding meeting agendas and gathering at secret locations, were on a "different level" than even the steps taken after the 9/11 terror attacks in 2001. Wired discussed a House hearing in which an expert from NYU testified that "new and different threats, many with domestic roots, have arisen, including threats of physical harm to our election officials, their families, and their staff."
Both reports noted the impact of former President Donald Trump's 2020 fraud claims in inspiring threats against election workers since that year.
Georgia Ban on Handing Out Snacks and Beverages to Voters Challenged in Federal Court
July 18, 2022
Voting organizations on Monday challenged Georgia's ban on handing out snacks and beverages to fatigued voters in federal court.
Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp signed the voting law last year, Senate Bill 2020, which made it a misdemeanor to give away food or water within 25 feet of any voter in line. Violations of the law are punishable by up to a year in jail and a $1,000 fine.
Voting rights advocates told U.S. District Judge J.P. Boule that they have a free-speech right to encourage participation in state elections. Defenders of the law, on the other hand, believe that the legislation in place prevents outside forcers to influence the decision of voters before they cast their ballots.
Boule questioned the alleged nonpartisan ambitions of the voting organizations, asking if they are "helping someone because they're thirsty, or because they want to determine control of the U.S. Senate?"
Catholic Vote Split Between Parties Ahead of Midterm Elections
July 17, 2022
44% of Catholic voters said they would vote for Republicans this November while 43% said they would vote for Democrats, according to a RealClearPolitics/EWTN poll.
The poll, which was conducted in mid-June, suggested that the last months of the campaign season will determine which party secures the majority. A "key indicator of voter concern" is 59% of Catholics who said the country is "on the wrong track" under the Biden administration.
86% of Stacey Abrams' Fundraising Coming From Out-of-State
July 15, 2022
In the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race, Democrat Stacey Abrams has out-fundraised incumbent Gov. Brian Kemp (R) by $20 million — and much of it came from outside of Georgia.
Of the $49.6 million Abrams has raised to date, only $7 million came from Georgia donors, according to Axios (Center bias), including $1.5 million from a voting policy group founded by Abrams. Meanwhile, she’s had over $10 million in donations from California and over $6 million from Washington D.C., and another $6.7 million that were unitemized.
According to Axios, Abrams’ fundraising makeup “is more typical of a leading national candidate than a gubernatorial contender.”
Kemp's campaign and leadership committee have collected over $26 million of their $31.5 million total from in-state donors since Kemp began fundraising three years ago.
RELATED: Stacey Abrams' blockbuster fundraising driven by out-of-state money (Axios).
Voters Split on 2022 Congressional Preference, NYT/Siena Poll Finds
July 14, 2022
Registered voters are split 41% to 40% on whether they prefer Democrats or Republicans to control Congress, a recent New York Times/Siena College poll found.
Meanwhile, 44% of likely voters preferred Republicans to control Congress, with 43% preferring Democrats. "The results," The New York Times' (Lean Left bias) Nate Cohn writes, "suggest that the wave of mass shootings and the recent Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe v. Wade have at least temporarily insulated the Democrats from an otherwise hostile national political environment while energizing the party’s predominantly liberal activist base."
Cohn also noted that while Republicans made progress with working-class and nonwhite voters, Democrats received higher support among white college graduates than nonwhite voters generally.
RELATED: Most Democrats Don’t Want Biden in 2024, New Poll Shows (New York Times, Lean Left bias)
Pelosi Accused of Misinformation Over 2022 Polling Claims
July 8, 2022
A prominent pollster accused House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) of “straight-up misinformation” for how she described his data on prominent 2022 races.
A screenshot from an email blast sent by Pelosi’s office describes how “Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight just announced that Democrats are poised to win SIX Senate seats this November,” including Val Demings in Florida and Tim Ryan in Ohio.
The screenshot, tweeted by RealClearPolitics (Center bias) elections analyst Sean Trende, then attracted a reply from Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight (Center bias). Silver called Pelosi’s email “straight-up misinformation” and said his publication ranks “Democrats as heavy underdogs in Florida and Ohio.”
According to FiveThirtyEight’s 2022 Senate tracker, Demings has a 6% chance of beating incumbent Marco Rubio, and Ryan has a 17% chance of winning in Ohio.
RELATED: ‘Straight-Up Misinformation’: Pollster Nate Silver Calls Out Speaker Pelosi For Misrepresenting His Work (Daily Caller, Right bias)
Georgia Senate Candidate Herschel Walker Reportedly Lied to Campaign About 'Secret' Kids
July 7, 2022
Herschel Walker, a Republican running against Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.), allegedly lied to his campaign staff about an estranged child, The Daily Beast (Left bias) reported Thursday.
Citing "emails and texts," the report said "Walker’s aides already knew he was lying" when he told them that rumors of an estranged child were false. When confronted with documents confirming the child's existence, Walker reportedly admitted to fathering the child.
Walker later admitted to having two more children but denied that they were "secret," telling The Daily Wire (Right bias) that "They’re not 'undisclosed' — they’re my kids." In its reporting on the first allegedly estranged child, The Daily Beast noted Walker's campaign rhetoric discussing "the fatherless home."
Kevin Nicholson Drops Out of Wisconsin GOP Governor Race
July 5, 2022
Kevin Nicholson announced Tuesday that he's suspending his campaign in the Republican Party primary for Wisconsin governor.
Nicholson, a management consultant, was consistently trailing behind former Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch and construction business co-owner Tim Michels in the polls. Nicholson said that the only way forward was "attacking the other candidates" and "running a very negative campaign," which he said he didn't want to do. The Wisconsin primary race will take place on Aug. 9.
Democrats Move to Influence GOP Races
July 2, 2022
Democrats are making interesting moves to sway voters in 2022 midterm elections that feature Republican candidates backed by former President Donald Trump.
In Maryland, the Democratic Governors Association launched a new advertisement this week criticizing state lawmaker Dan Cox for his Trump connections. “Dan Cox: Too close to Trump, too conservative for Maryland,” the narrator says. Trump endorsed Cox’s gubernatorial campaign last fall.
But Democrats’ goal is reportedly to boost Cox — not hurt his campaign. Democrats in Maryland and elsewhere “have run ads boosting the more extreme Republican candidate in a primary, in hopes that they win the nomination and will be easier to beat in the general election in November,” according to Politico. Democrats have tried similar strategies in Illinois, Colorado and Pennsylvania’s 2022 gubernatorial races, with mixed results.
RELATED: Dems meddle in Trump-Hogan proxy war in Maryland (Politico, Lean Left bias)
FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast Labels Senate a 'Toss-up'
June 30, 2022
Despite widespread predictions of a Republican takeover of Congress, FiveThirtyEight's new 2022 election forecast said Republicans only had a strong advantage in House races.
Meanwhile, the Senate was labeled a "toss-up," with Republicans having only a two-point advantage over Democrats. FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver attributed the difference to the higher importance of "individual factors" in Senate races, whereas House races were more impacted by national politics.
RELATED: YouGov Poll: GOP Gains 1 Point on Generic Ballot After Abortion Decision
Candidates React to Roe v Wade Decision in Texas and Across the Country
June 24, 2022
Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and Democratic challenger Beto O'Rourke issued statements on the Supreme Court's decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.
Texas has a trigger law that will go into effect in 30 days — making it a felony to perform an abortion unless it serves to protect the life of the mother. Abbott supported the Supreme Court's decision, calling on Texans to "save every child from the ravages of abortion and help our expectant mothers in need." Meanwhile, O'Rourke called on Texans to join his campaign "if you are about protecting a woman’s freedom to make her own decisions about her own body, health care, and future."
RELATED: Supreme Court Overturns Roe v Wade
Candidate's 'RINO Hunting' Ad Inspires Threats Against Ex-Wife, Lawyer Says
June 23, 2022
A Missouri Senate candidate's campaign ad pushing "RINO Hunting Permits" led to "serious threats" against the candidate's family, a lawyer for his ex-wife said at a child custody hearing.
The candidate, former Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens, received criticism from across the spectrum for the controversial ad. Greitens resigned as governor in 2018 amid allegations that he blackmailed a woman he was having an affair with. Greitens and his ex-wife divorced in 2020; in March 2022, his ex-wife accused him of verbal and physical abuse.
RELATED: Eric Greitens 'RINO Hunting' Ad: Call for Violence, or Harmless Metaphor?
Is GOP Making Headway With Hispanics?
June 17, 2022
Republicans flipped a longtime Democratic congressional seat in Texas behind a young Hispanic candidate this week. Is this a sign of things to come?
Mayra Flores, who will be the first Mexican-born congresswoman, defeated Democrat Dan Sanchez and two other candidates in Tuesday’s special election with 50.1% of the vote.
The GOP sees this, coupled with recent polling data suggesting low approval of President Joe Biden among Hispanics, as signs of a good opportunity to win some Hispanic voters away from the Democratic party in the 2022 midterm elections and beyond.
RELATED: What Does a Republican Victory in South Texas Mean for Hispanic Voters in 2022?
New Mexico Supreme Court Orders County Commission To Certify Primary Results
June 15, 2022
The New Mexico State Supreme Court has ordered the Otero County Commission to certify its primary election results after the panel refused to do so.
New Mexico Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver called on the state Supreme Court to make the move. The GOP county commission cited concerns over Dominion voting machines, which former President Donald Trump accused of presenting fradulent results after the 2020 election.
Public Safety Concerns Underscore Progressive Setbacks in California
June 10, 2022
California progressives faced backlash in this week’s 2022 midterm primary elections.
In Los Angeles, Republican-turned-Democrat Rick Caruso and progressive incumbent Karen Bass are headed to a run-off. Caruso, who campaigned on lowering crime, led Bass by 16,000 votes in the June 7 primary election.
In San Francisco, progressive District Attorney Chesa Boudin was ousted by a successful recall vote, with 61% of San Francisco voters voting to remove him.
Both Bass and Boudin have been criticized across the spectrum — espeecially from voices on the right but also in the left and center — about their purpoertedly "soft-on-crime" attitudes.
Independent Evan McMullin Inches Closer to Utah Sen. Mike Lee in New Poll
June 9, 2022
Independent candidate Evan McMullin polled within 4 percentage points of Utah Sen. Mike Lee (R) in a recent Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics survey.
McMullin received 37% support in a general election match-up, while Lee received 41%. McMullin became a top contender for Lee's U.S. Senate seat after convincing Utah Democrats not to nominate a candidate. 21.5% of Utahns voted for McMullin in 2016 when he ran for president as an independent.
Wisconsin Democrats Launch Coordinated Campaign With National Party to Re-elect Governor
June 2, 2022
The Democratic Party of Wisconsin is launching a new coordinated effort with the Democratic National Committee to elect Democrats in the state.
Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers, a Democrat up for re-election, said the collaboration was "the largest midterm coordinated campaign in the history of our state." In a statement, Wisconsin Democrats said the program would "make early and significant investments in communities of color, tribal and rural communities, build a robust campus organizing program as well as fully fund a voter protection program that will ensure Wisconsinites’ right to vote and ensure fair and free elections."
Supreme Court Halts Counting of Mail-In Ballots in Pennsylvania
May 31, 2022
Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. has put a temporary hold on the counting of some mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania.
The Supreme Court is currently reviewing a decision of a three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 3rd Circuit. The lower court concluded that mail-in ballots without a date marked on the outer envelope shouldn't be counted. The final decision could affect the tight GOP primary race between Mehmet Oz and David McCormick. The initial count found Oz to be victorious over McCormick by 922 votes.
Paul Ryan to Campaign for Republican Who Voted for Trump Impeachment
May 27, 2022
Former House Speaker Paul Ryan announced Friday that he would campaign for incumbent Rep. Tom Rice (R-S.C.), a Republican who voted to impeach former President Donald Trump after the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.
The former president is backing South Carolina state Rep. Russell Fry in the Republican primary for Rice's House seat. Ryan is the latest high-profile Republican to support a primary candidate opposed by Trump; earlier in May, former Vice President Mike Pence announced his support for Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp against a Trump-backed candidate.
Texas Gov. Greg Abbott Confronted at Press Conference by 2022 Challenger Beto O'Rourke
May 26, 2022
Beto O'Rourke, the 2022 Democratic nominee for Texas governor, accused Gov. Greg Abbott of "doing nothing" about gun violence at a Wednesday press conference on the Uvalde school shooting.
O'Rourke approached the stage where Abbott and other leaders were presenting information as Abbott handed his microphone to Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, another Republican up for re-election in 2022. O'Rourke was escorted out of the building by security and continued speaking on the issue to a crowd outside. Republicans, including Uvalde Mayor Don McLaughlin, criticized O'Rourke's interruption; Democrats often praised it.
Pennsylvania To Recount GOP Primary Race Between Oz and McCormick
May 25, 2022
Pennsylvania state election officials have confirmed that there will be a statewide recount for its Senate Republican primary.
Out of the 1.3 million ballots cast in the state, celebrity TV doctor Mehmet Oz was leading former hedge fund CEO David McCormick by 922 votes.
Bill de Blasio Announces He's Running for Congress in Newly-Redrawn House District
May 20, 2022
Former New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio announced he was running for Congress in New York's 10th Congressional District.
The announcement came in a Friday morning interview with MSNBC's (Left bias) "Morning Joe." New York's 10th District was redrawn during the state's redistricting process; May 20 was the deadline for a final version of the new map. Rep. Jerry Nadler, who previously held the 10th District, is running in the redrawn 12th District against incumbent Rep. Carolyn Maloney. New York's primary election for congresssional and state senate races will be held on August 23; the state's primary for other races will be held on June 28.
Recently-Defeated Madison Cawthorn Calls for Rise of 'Dark MAGA'
May 19, 2022
Rep. Madison Cawthorn (R-N.C.), 26, called for "Dark MAGA" to "truly take command" on Thursday after losing his North Carolina primary race to state Sen. Chuck Edwards on Tuesday.
Cawthorn's campaign had been marred by a long series of scandals — including leaked explicit videos, photos of Cawthorn wearing lingerie on a cruise ship, and charges of insider trading — which the congressman claimed were part of an attempt by the GOP establishment to "smear" him. While Cawthorn pledged to "rally behind the Republican ticket to defeat the Democrats’ nominee," he also labeled the GOP establishment "the Uni-party" and promised to "defeat the cowardly and weak members" of the Republican party.
Printing Errors To Delay Mail-In Ballots in Pennsylvania and Oregon Counties
May 17, 2022
The counting of ballots will be delayed by days in two state counties, Lancaster County in Pennsylvania and Clackamas County in Oregon, after printing errors caused thousands of mail-in ballots unreadable.
Officials asked citizens to trust the delayed vote-counting process, which will consist of election workers reproducing thousands of ballots by hand so that they can be properly scanned by machines. Many outlets noted that Pennsylvania was one of the main states where Republican politicans falsely disputed former President Donald Trump's loss to Joe Biden after the 2020 election.
New York Courts Reveals Proposed Map of Redrawn Congressional Districts
May 16, 2022
New York courts released a proposed map of redrawn congressional districts.
State Judge Patrick F. McAllister is expected to approve the redrawn districts on Friday, leading several Democrats running for office to shift their plans. Most outlets across the spectrum labeled the redrawn maps as "more GOP-friendly" due to the fact that it merges districts together where sitting Democrats would face off against each other in November's midterm elections.
Pence Supports Brian Kemp in Georgia Primary, Splitting With Trump
May 13, 2022
Former Vice President Mike Pence will campaign for Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp — who former President Donald Trump has vocally opposed — ahead of the state's primary election on May 24.
Pence will attend a rally supporting Kemp's candidacy on Monday. In a Friday statement, the former VP called Kemp "one of the most successful conservative governors in America." Trump has criticized both Pence and Kemp for certifying the 2020 presidential election despite his objections. The former president has endorsed Kemp's opponent, former Sen. David Perdue.
Florida Judge To Block Republicans' Congressional Redistricting Effort
May 11, 2022
J. Layne Smith, a Florida circuit court judge, said he would issue a formal order to block a portion of a new congressional map being adopted by Republicans.
Smith found that the map was unconstitutional under the Fair District amendment "because it diminishes African Americans’ ability to elect the representative of their choice." The map has been challenged by several voting rights groups as it would erase two districts represented by Black Democrats, giving Florida Republicans an advantage in as many as 20 of 28 districts. Gov. Ron DeSantis, who drew the lines, wanted to specifically dismantle Florida’s fifth congressional district because it stretched 150 miles from Tallahassee to Jacksonville.
Alex Mooney Defeats David McKinley in WV GOP House Primary
May 10, 2022
Rep. Alex Mooney defeated Rep. David McKinley in the GOP primary for West Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, further proving the power of an endorsement from former President Donald Trump.
NBC News (Lean Left bias) noted that Trump backed Mooney after McKinley voted for the bipartisan infrastructure package and the effort to create a commission to investigate the Capitol riots.
Latest Polls Put DeSantis Up Big in 2022 FL Gubernatorial Race
May 9, 2022
The latest polling averages from Florida predict a big win for Gov. Ron DeSantis in his 2022 gubernatorial bid to remain governor of the Sunshine State.
Polling averages collected by RealClearPolitics (Center bias) project decisive wins for DeSantis, both in the primary and in the general election, regardless of who his eventual opponent is. Democrats Charlie Crist and Nikki Fried are the leading candidates to win the Democratic gubernatorial primary in Florida.