Headline RoundupNovember 3rd, 2022

One Week Before Election Day, Pollsters Say Race for Senate is Neck and Neck

Summary from the AllSides News Team

Multiple 2022 midterm election pollsters across the political spectrum suggest that the race for control of the Senate is in or near a dead heat, with Republicans appearing to hold a slight advantage just one week before Election Day.

What the Polls Say: Our interactive AllSides 2022 forecasting model tool estimates that Republicans have a 57% chance of winning the Senate. FiveThirtyEight's (Center bias) polling model predicts that Republicans will win 51 Senate seats to Democrats' 49, as does that of The Economist (Lean Left bias). The prediction from Fox News (Right bias) is for Republicans to win 49 seats to Democrats' 47, with four races currently marked as toss-ups. RealClearPolitics (Center bias) estimates that Republicans will win 48 seats to Democrats' 45, with seven races marked as toss-ups.

For Context: Republicans have been slowly gaining momentum in Senate races for the last few months, according to many of the same polls. Millions of ballots have already been cast nationwide through early voting.

How the Media Covered It: Sources across the spectrum project the Senate competition to be very close, and many agree that there's no clear favorite. Sources across the spectrum highlighted reports of the Libertarian candidate in Arizona's Senate race dropping out Tuesday and endorsing challenger Blake Masters (R) against incumbent Mark Kelly (D).

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