Joe Biden’s Fine Line in Michigan

LANSING, Michigan—In November 2020, the presidential race in Michigan was so tight that network decision desks waited nearly a full 24 hours before putting the state’s 16 electoral votes in President Joe Biden’s column and bringing him within six such votes of the White House. Four years later, the Wolverine State is poised to play a similarly decisive role in the ultimate outcome of the expected rematch between Biden and former President Donald Trump. But given developments both within and outside of the president’s control—notably Israel’s war to eliminate Hamas...