Perspectives: Iowa Democratic Caucus 2020
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From the Center
Buttigieg, Sanders rise in final poll ahead of Iowa caucuses
DES MOINES — Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) hold a slim lead in a last-minute poll of Iowa Democratic voters released Monday, showing a close-fought race just hours before the caucus doors open.
The new poll, conducted for the Democratic group Focus on Rural America by party pollster David Binder, found Buttigieg leading the field with 19 percent of the vote. Sanders trailed with 17 percent of the vote, a statistically insignificant disadvantage.
Both gained 3 points since the last Focus on...
From the Left
The secret to winning Iowa
(CNN) - It's the bottom of the ninth in Iowa as Democratic candidates make their closing arguments before the all-important Iowa caucus on Monday. Having worked as the communications director for the presidential campaigns of Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum and Ted Cruz — the last three Republicans to win the Iowa caucuses — I have insight into what works in the Hawkeye State.
And if the Democratic candidates want to be competitive, I would encourage them to keep the following lessons in mind.
From the Center
Who Will Win The 2020 Democratic Primary? Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted
FiveThirtyEight’s model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate. The chart shows how many delegates, on average, each candidate is projected to have pledged to them at each point in the primary season, along with a range of possible delegate counts. We’re also showing the distribution of simulated final pledged delegate counts in the table, where taller bars mean a more likely outcome....
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