How to Solve the Swing-State Puzzle

Posted on AllSides September 20th, 2012
From The Left

When I first considered Barack Obamas re-election chances in this magazine, last November, he was about a 50-50 contender against the Republican field. As I noted then, this was an unusual spot for a sitting president. A year before their own re-election races, Roosevelt, Eisenhower, Nixon, Reagan, Clinton and both Bushes were all favored. One year out, it seemed as if things could break either way for the president in 2012.

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http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/23/magazine/nate-silver-solves-the-swing-state-puzzle.html

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