Headline Roundup • October 25th, 2024
Trump, Harris in Dead Heat: New York Times/Siena College Poll
Summary from the AllSides News Team
With less than two weeks until election day, the last New York Times (Lean Left bias)/Siena College poll has Vice President Harris and former President Trump tied at 48% of the popular vote each.
Other Polls: The latest Wall Street Journal (Center bias) poll has Trump leading Harris 47% to 45%. The Economist (Lean Left) puts Harris leading 49% to 47%.
Top Issues: Most voters (27%) said the economy was their most important issue, followed by immigration and abortion at 15% each. Trump has the advantage among voters on the economy and immigration, while Harris leads on abortion.
Could the Candidates Tie?: In theory, the candidates could tie with 269 electoral college votes each, though that has never happened in the country's history. In the event of a tie, new members of the House of Representatives would be sworn in and vote on a candidate. Each state, regardless of the size of their delegation, would get one vote.
How the Media Covered It: Among outlets that run their own polling, some put Trump ahead and others put Harris ahead, but all emphasized the results are within a margin of error.
Featured Coverage of this Story

(AP/Alex Brandon/Mike Stewart)
A new poll has found former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in a dead heat among voters with only one in four saying that the country is heading in the right direction.
Both candidates are tied with 48% of the popular vote in the New York Times/Siena College survey of 2,516 likely voters nationwide between Oct. 20 to Oct. 23, which has a 2.5% margin of error.
Donald Trump has opened a narrow lead in the presidential race, as voters have adopted a more positive view of his agenda and past performance and a more negative view of Kamala Harris, a new Wall Street Journal poll finds.
The national survey finds that Trump is leading Harris by 2 percentage points, 47% to 45%, compared with a Harris lead of 2 points in the Journalās August survey on a ballot that includes third-party and independent candidates. Both leads are within the pollsā margins of error, meaning that either candidate could actually...
Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump are locked in a dead heat for the popular vote, 48 percent to 48 percent, the final national poll by The New York Times and Siena College has found, as Ms. Harris struggles for an edge over Mr. Trump with an electorate that seems impossibly and immovably divided.
The result, coming less than two weeks before Election Day, and as millions of Americans have already voted, is not encouraging for Ms. Harris. In recent elections, Democrats have had an edge in the popular vote even when...
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