15 Experts Predict What Biden’s Dropout Means for the 2024 Election

Aweek ago, former President Donald Trump was nearly assassinated. Today, President Joe Biden dropped his reelection bid. To put it mildly, it’s hard to know what might actually happen in this chaotic, historic presidential election year.

But we reached out to a group of top political analysts, thinkers and historians to ask them what they see in their crystal ball and offer their best predictions for American politics over the next four months until Election Day.

Is Vice President Kamala Harris going to quickly consolidate support for the Democratic nomination or will the party fracture? Will an open process strengthen her or weaken her? If she is the nominee, can she beat Trump in a general election? Our experts differed, with some on the left and right bullish about their prospective standard-bearers. Only one group will be right.

Here’s what they said.