Harris' Polling Lead Shrinks

Former President Donald Trump is gaining ground on Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential race, according to several national polls.

The Data: The latest NBC News (Lean Left bias) poll shows the two tied at 48% after showing Harris with a 5-point lead last month. The latest ABC/Ipsos poll says Harris leads 50% to 48%, compared to a 52% to 46% advantage in September. And CBS/YouGov's most recent poll gave Harris a 3-point lead, down from 4 last month. According to FiveThirtyEight (Center), Trump trails Harris by 2.4 points, his best standing since early August.

Looking Deeper: Some polls suggest Harris is underperforming with key Democratic voting blocks while Trump is holding steady. The latest poll from The New York Times (Lean Left) projected Harris carrying Latino voters by 19 points, down from 39- and 26-point advantages for Democrats in 2016 and 2020, respectively. Others say Trump is underperforming compared to Harris on some aspects of the economy; when likely voters were asked who they trusted to look out for the middle class, ABC's poll gave Harris a 5-point edge.

How the Media Covered it: Right-rated outlets often framed the shift positively, suggesting opposition to Harris. Some left-rated outlets framed it negatively, suggesting opposition to Trump. The Washington Examiner (Lean Right) said Trump "erases" Harris' lead and that the polls are "bad news" for the vice president. The Times said "Harris’s support among Hispanic voters is in dangerously low territory for Democrats."