How Donald Trump and Kamala Harris Polls Look Four Weeks Before Election

Vice President Kamala Harris has a slight edge over Donald Trump in the 2024 race with four weeks to go until election day.

Polling and forecasters suggest that Harris is marginally ahead of the former president in terms of national averages. If they translate to election results, Harris will win the popular vote in November.

Harris also has a marginal lead in terms of the swing states, which could determine who wins the 2024 election overall. The entire election may come down to who wins the 19 Electoral College votes in the neck-and-neck race in Pennsylvania, a state where Harris currently has a razor-thin average lead.

The Democrat's clearest path to victory in November would be to win the three blue wall states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, as well as the one Electoral College vote in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District.