How Big is Kamala Harris' Lead With Black Voters? National Polling Average

Vice President Kamala Harris is on average leading former President Donald Trump among Black voters by 60 points, according to analysis by Newsweek.

Newsweek analysed the latest national poll from pollsters since the start of August that provides a breakdown of voting intention based on race and found that on average, Harris is polling at 76 percent among Black voters while Trump is polling at 16 percent.

Newsweek has contacted the Harris campaign for comment via email.

Democrats have won a majority of the African American vote at every presidential election since 1936, winning 88 percent of the Black vote in 2016 and 87 percent in 2020, according to exit polls.

However, before Joe Biden stepped down, Donald Trump was on pace to win more Black voters than any Republican presidential candidate in history, with a March 2024 poll by GenForward showing he could win as much as 17 percent of the Black vote — the largest proportion for a Republican presidential candidate since 1960.