Headline Roundup • June 20th, 2024
Latest Polls Indicate Trump Leads in Crucial Swing States
Summary from the AllSides News Team
According to recent surveys, former President Donald Trump is beating or tied with President Joe Biden in all seven swing states.
The Details: A poll conducted by Emerson College Polling and The Hill (Center bias) surveyed 2,453 adults June 4-12, concluding that Trump would take the lead over Biden in a head-to-head matchup, with 48% to Biden's 43%. The swing states include Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada. In the Ipsos poll, Trump leads in all of these states and tied in Minnesota. An Ipsos poll released this week reached a similar conclusion, giving Trump a lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada. If a third-party candidate like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. were to run, Trump's national lead would decrease to 37% against Biden's 35%.
Key Quote: Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, stated, “In our first polling in several key swing states since Trump’s conviction last month, there has been little movement, with support for both Trump and Biden staying largely consistent since November.”
For Context: The Biden campaign is working to capitalize on Trump’s felony convictions, releasing an ad campaign branding him a “convicted criminal.” Meanwhile, Trump’s team has played up snippets of Biden looking confused in an effort to suggest that Biden may be unfit to serve another term.
How The Media Covered It: Outlets across the spectrum are covering the recent batch of polling data, but right-rated outlets are covering them more prominently and frequently. This summary was developed with the help of AllSides' AI technology.
Featured Coverage of this Story

zz/Dennis Van Tine/STAR MAX/IPx
Former President and presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump got some good news on Thursday, one day after a Fox News poll suggested that he was down two points to President Joe Biden nationally.
According to an Emerson College/The Hill survey released on Thursday, Trump boasts leads over Biden in every major swing state, including Wisconsin (47%-44%), Pennsylvania (47%-45%), Michigan (46%-45%), Arizona (47%-43%), Georgia (45%-41%), and Nevada (46%-43%). What’s more is that the same poll found that Trump has managed to tie Biden in Minnesota, which no Republican has won...

Forbes
Former President Donald Trump would beat President Joe Biden in all seven swing states if the election were held today, according to a new survey—the latest to show Trump with an edge less than six months before the November election, despite his felony convictions in Manhattan earlier this month.
Trump would beat Biden 37% to 35% overall in the seven swing states (Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada), according to the Ipsos poll released Thursday, which breaks down the results by region and gave voters the option...

REUTERS
Former President Donald Trump is running the table against President Biden in six battleground states, fresh polling shows.
The surveys from Emerson College and The Hill show the 45th president edging out Biden in Arizona (47%-43%), Georgia (45%-41%), Michigan (46%-45%), Nevada (46%-43%), Pennsylvania (47%-45%), and Wisconsin (47%-44%).
In all six states, Trump’s lead has either remained the same or grown from the outlet’s polls taken last month, before he was convicted by a Manhattan jury on 34 business fraud charges.
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