Headline RoundupJune 20th, 2024

Latest Polls Indicate Trump Leads in Crucial Swing States

Summary from the AllSides News Team

According to recent surveys, former President Donald Trump is beating or tied with President Joe Biden in all seven swing states.

The Details: A poll conducted by Emerson College Polling and The Hill (Center bias) surveyed 2,453 adults June 4-12, concluding that Trump would take the lead over Biden in a head-to-head matchup, with 48% to Biden's 43%. The swing states include Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada. In the Ipsos poll, Trump leads in all of these states and tied in Minnesota. An Ipsos poll released this week reached a similar conclusion, giving Trump a lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada. If a third-party candidate like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. were to run, Trump's national lead would decrease to 37% against Biden's 35%.

Key Quote: Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, stated, “In our first polling in several key swing states since Trump’s conviction last month, there has been little movement, with support for both Trump and Biden staying largely consistent since November.”

For Context: The Biden campaign is working to capitalize on Trump’s felony convictions, releasing an ad campaign branding him a “convicted criminal.” Meanwhile, Trump’s team has played up snippets of Biden looking confused in an effort to suggest that Biden may be unfit to serve another term.

How The Media Covered It: Outlets across the spectrum are covering the recent batch of polling data, but right-rated outlets are covering them more prominently and frequently. This summary was developed with the help of AllSides' AI technology.

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