Polls favor GOP to win control of House, but upset possible

Control of the U.S. House is up for grabs on election night and the simple math favors Republicans. It’s not just polling. Democrats are defending more seats in tough districts than Republicans are.

Only a small handful of really competitive races, of which there are dozens, need to flip from blue to red for the GOP to control the House.

Democrats’ current majority in the House sits at just five seats.

It’s a historically small margin which, according to the polls, Democrats are expected to lose this Tuesday.

Out of 435 House races 212 either lean or are likely to be in Republican hands. 188 are more likely in Democratic control, according to Cook Political Report.

Decision Desk HQ gives Republicans a 79% chance to win control of the House after the midterms.