Democrats need Black and Latino vote to win tight midterm elections

Democrats are publicly and privately growing more concerned about their soft support from Black and Latino men, fearing that any marginal move by voters of color toward the GOP — or low turnout — will be decisive in the midterms.

Why it matters: With Republican candidates banking on big margins among white voters, Democrats need to run up the score with Black and Latino voters to win tight Senate and governor's races in Georgia, Nevada, Arizona and Pennsylvania.

The big picture: Strategists from both parties are closely watching whether Republicans can replicate — or even improve on — President Trump’s 2020 numbers with Latino and Black voters, when he increased his voting share in both groups (though he lost them decisively overall).

By the numbers ... Exit polls show that in 2020, Biden won: