Was Hillary Clinton a terrible candidate?
White House,Election 2016,Hillary Clinton,Donald Trump,Swing States,Elections
As much as Donald Trump was hailed by Republicans for winning the White House in 2016, Democrats blamed their loss squarely on Hillary Clinton and her campaign. A closer look confirms that she underperformed a typical Democrat in key states in the race for president, even as she overperformed elsewhere.
On the surface, Clinton could be viewed as a more valuable candidate to Democrats than Trump was to Republicans, according to Inside Elections’ Vote Above Replacement metric. She overperformed a typical Democrat in 19 states while Trump overperformed a typical Republican in 15 states.
VAR measures the strength of a political candidate relative to a typical candidate from her or his party by comparing the percentage of a candidate’s vote to the party’s Baseline. Baseline is the trimmed mean of each party’s performance in partisan, contested statewide elections over the four most recent general election cycles.
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