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Headline Roundup February 28th, 2020

Perspectives: Trump's Re-election Chances

Summary from the AllSides News Team

Media voices are speculating about President Donald Trump's re-election chances, with many focusing on how the spread of coronavirus and its economic effects may impact what happens at the voting booth. Some predict that a weaker economy going into November will hinder Trump's performance, while others, especially on the right, argue that his pre-virus economy can carry him. Some have concentrated more on how his potential 2020 rivals stack up.

Featured Coverage of this Story

Trump’s Chances for Reelection Are Looking Better and Better
Trump’s Chances for Reelection Are Looking Better and Better

National Review (News)

Analysis

Donald Trump has at least five strong historical arguments for his reelection.

One, he is an incumbent. Incumbent presidents have won 14 of 19 reelection bids since 1900.

The few who lost did not enjoy positive approval ratings. In a Gallup poll from earlier this month, Trump enjoyed his highest approval rating since his inauguration, squeezing out a 49 percent favorable rating vs. 50 percent unfavorable.

Two, the public perception of the economy usually determines any presidential election — as incumbents Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, George H. W. Bush, and...

Open on National Review (News)
A coronavirus recession would likely end Trump's presidency
A coronavirus recession would likely end Trump's presidency

The Week - Opinion

Opinion

The global coronavirus outbreak might accomplish something that myriad bad polls haven't: make Republicans fear losing the 2020 presidential election.

Until now, survey after survey has consistently shown President Trump losing to the Democrats in November. Like, to all of the Democrats. Yet Republicans have remained confident. They remember how the #FakePolls showed Trump losing to Hillary Clinton four years ago. More importantly, perhaps, GOPers have a deep faith that the strong economy will provide a powerful tailwind to Trump's re-election campaign.

But the plunging stock market, badly spooked by...

Open on James Pethokoukis
Bernie Sanders Can Beat Trump. Here’s the Math.
Bernie Sanders Can Beat Trump. Here’s the Math.

New York Times (Opinion)

Opinion

Most available evidence points in the direction of a popular vote and Electoral College victory.

Whatever you think about Bernie Sanders as a potential president, it is wrong to dismiss his chances of winning the office. Not only does most of the available empirical evidence show Mr. Sanders defeating President Trump in the national popular vote and in the critical Midwestern states that tipped the Electoral College in 2016, but his specific electoral strengths align with changes in the composition of the country’s population in ways that could actually make...

Open on New York Times (Opinion)

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