'P(doom)' Is Just Vibes Masquerading as Science

Multiple AI industry insiders have warned (very publicly) over the past week that the very technology they've spent their careers building could very possibly be the agent of our extinction. Evan Hubinger, alignment research lead at Anthropic, went so far as to quantify the level of risk: In an X post last Tuesday, he confidently declared that the likelihood that "AI could kill all humans" within the next ten years was greater than 10%.