These 3 races could determine whether Democrats or Republicans control the Senate in 2023

Thirty five Senate seats are up for reelection in November, but only eight are considered toss-ups, according to RealClearPolitics. Of those, there are three that are most likely to determine which party controls the Senate, according to research firm Beacon Policy Advisors.

In a report released Friday, Beacon predicted “the likely tipping point race to be Georgia, a purple state that is still to the right of the nation by about three points.”

The incumbent senator, Democrat Raphael Warnock, defeated Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler in a special runoff election last year by two points, but faces another steep challenge this fall. His new opponent, former NFL player Herschel Walker, is well within striking distance.

Polling in July gave Warnock a comfortable lead of anywhere between 3-9-points. But in recent weeks, Walker, who is backed by former President Donald Trump, has gained steam and polling since August has favored him by one to three points.

The race’s competitiveness has prompted massive fundraising efforts, with Warnock raising over $60 million and Walker raising over $20 million as of the end of June.