Who Will Win The Last Presidential Debate?

Respondents are very sure of who they plan to vote for: 45 percent of respondents said they are “absolutely certain” to vote for Biden and 32 percent said the same of Trump. Very few are torn — just 2 percent said they were split 50-50 between Biden and Trump.

However, despite Biden’s commanding lead in the polls and among the respondents in our survey, many remain skeptical that he can win the presidency. Overall, 37 percent of respondents said either Trump or Biden was “absolutely certain” to win, while 16 percent thought it was a total toss-up (50-50).

A large share of Biden and Trump’s supporters said they were “absolutely certain” to vote, and that includes a huge chunk that has already voted: 44 percent of Biden’s backers and 24 percent of Trump’s. Enthusiasm wasn’t quite as high, with just under half of each candidate’s supporters saying they were “very excited” to vote.