Headline Roundup • November 4th, 2024
Which Party Will Win Control of Each Chamber of Congress Tomorrow?
Summary from the AllSides News Team
News outlets expect a close call, but polls show an edge for Republicans in the Senate and a tossup for the House.
From the Center: The Hill (Center bias) isolated a handful of House races in states including Virginia, Iowa, and New York that could serve as "early clues" about whether Republicans can hold onto their slim majority. The article cited campaign strategists who said "energized" voters in small cities could cause Republican-held seats to flip.
From the Left: The Guardian (Lean Left) used sympathetic framing toward Democrats, writing that polls "paint a worrying picture" for them. It speculated about the "haunting possibility" that a Republican trifecta (control of Congress and the presidency) would enact a nationwide abortion ban or "allocate vast resources to assist Trump’s plan to deport millions of undocumented migrants."
From the Right: Fox Business (Lean Right) focused on betting markets — namely, Polymarket and BetUS — which show strong confidence in Republicans to win the Senate but a "virtual tossup" for the House.
Featured Coverage of this Story
Michael Gonzalez/Getty Images
Election Day is less than a week away and voters are already heading to the polls and mailing in their ballots, and betting markets have weighed in on whether Republicans or Democrats are favored to win control of Congress.
As many anxious US election watchers constantly refresh the forecast from 538 in the final days before polls close, their attention tends to focus on the presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, but the polling website’s forecasts of the battle for House and the Senate paint an even more worrying picture for Democrats.
As of Saturday evening, 538 gives Trump a 50% chance of winning the presidential race, while Republicans have a comfortable 90% chance of regaining control of the Senate and a narrower 52% chance of maintaining their House majority.
Those numbers reflect a reality that is...
The Hill
Control of the House is up for grabs, and political observers of all stripes will be watching on Tuesday with anxious anticipation for early signs of which party will hold the gavel in the next Congress. Election forecasters have singled out dozens of highly contested seats — some of them “toss-ups” and some “leaning” in favor of one party or the other — that will determine whether Republicans keep the majority or Democrats return to power after two years in the minority wilderness. But not all battleground seats are created...
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