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Headline Roundup November 4th, 2020

Were This Year's Presidential Election Polls Right or Wrong?

Summary from the AllSides News Team

After national opinion polls seemed to underestimate President Donald Trump's popularity ahead of the 2016 presidential election, some are wondering whether this may be the case again in 2020. Democratic nominee Joe Biden led Trump in many national polls going into Tuesday, and some forecasted his lead as being stronger than Hillary Clinton's was four years ago. Some voices throughout the spectrum, especially on the left, focused on purported differences in polling methods for this year's election compared to the one in 2016, and also on Biden ostensibly holding a stronger lead than Clinton did. Some right-rated voices voiced an expectation that polls again underestimated Trump's popularity and didn't do enough to fully represent the national voting body, including young people and those in rural areas.

Featured Coverage of this Story

What Pollsters Miss About Trump
What Pollsters Miss About Trump

Wall Street Journal (Opinion)

Opinion

Matt Towery thought he’d retired from the polling business. But this election year has him feeling a little like Michael Corleone. Just when he thought he was out, he says, they pulled him back in.

Mr. Towery, a practicing attorney living in Florida, is a former columnist with Creators Syndicate and founder and chairman of InsiderAdvantage, a political news site. If people are eager to hear his take on this election, it’s because in 2016 Mr. Towery was among the very few pollsters who called it for Donald Trump. On...

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What we can trust 2020 election polls to tell us
What we can trust 2020 election polls to tell us

Pew Research Center

News

As Election Day draws closer, Americans are being inundated with polls about the state of the presidential race. And, understandably, many are wondering whether polls can be trusted after Donald Trump’s surprise victory in 2016.

A better question to ask may be what, exactly, are we trusting polls to do? If the answer is to predict the future, then trust in polls is misplaced. But if the answer is to reveal the public’s priorities and values – and why people vote the way they do – then polls are the...

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Why the 2020 election won’t be a 2016 sequel
Why the 2020 election won’t be a 2016 sequel

The Atlantic

Opinion

“I want to feel hopeful about Joe Biden’s chances this year, but I just can’t,” my neighbor confessed to me, as we stood in line outside a coffee shop. What had begun as pleasant conversation—dogs, the temperature, clouds—had been pulled, through the vortex known as Late October in an Election Year, into an airing of political anxieties. “I’m still so afraid that 2016 is going to happen again and Trump is going to win,” she said.

Based on the sample size of my life, every Democrat feels this way. Yes,...

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