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Headline Roundup September 5th, 2020

Perspectives: Where Do Biden, Trump Stand In Polls?

Summary from the AllSides News Team

Election polling has always played a central role in the months leading up to a presidential election. According to several key national polls, including the Grinnell College/Selzer and Co. poll, the Reuters/IPSOS poll and the CNN/SSRS poll released at the beginning of September, Joe Biden has an average 8-point lead over President Donald Trump. Though Biden's own numbers did not spike after the Democratic National Convention (DNC), Trump saw a small bump after the Republican National Convention (RNC) in swing state Florida, putting him at 3 points behind Biden. Arizona has Biden up by around five points, and Biden leads by a 6-7 point average in Michigan and Wisconsin; this makes for an average 5-point margin in key Electoral College swing states. Coverage from right-rated outlets tended to focus on the narrower numbers in swing states. Some center- and right-rated outlets framed Trump's numbers as a negative reflection on his new "law and order" focus. Some left-rated outlets used flat convention bumps to question the necessity of party conventions.

Featured Coverage of this Story

Joe Biden's true lead is smaller than it appears
Joe Biden's true lead is smaller than it appears

CNN (Opinion)

News

Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to hold an advantage over President Donald Trump in the polls. Given that we're past both major party conventions and closing in on Labor Day, the only fair conclusion to reach is that Biden's the favorite.

Yet, it continues to be clear that the national polling will continue to overstate Biden's edge. An examination of the state polls shows a race that, while not a tossup by any means, is closer than the national polls would indicate.

Open on CNN (Opinion)
What the numbers say about Trump's chances at reelection
News

With nine weeks until the 2020 presidential election, several factors are unfolding that will likely determine whether President Trump will be reelected. One major factor is how the electorate has changed since 2016.

First, consider that the share of voters supporting third-party candidates is much smaller in 2020 than it was in 2016. In 2020, former Vice President Joe Biden has a 2-to-1 lead over Trump among those who voted for Jill Stein and Gary Johnson in 2016. One survey shows that 47 percent of Stein and Johnson supporters will...

Open on The Hill
Biden-Trump race tightening in the biggest battleground: Poll
News

A new poll in the biggest of the general election battleground states shows a tightening race but with Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden with a slight edge over President Trump.

Two months to the day until Election Day on November 3 Biden stands at 48% and Trump at 45% among likely votes in Florida, according to a Quinnipiac University survey released Thursday.

Open on Fox News Digital

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