Is the ‘Housing Market Recession’ Over?
Summary from the AllSides News Team
2022’s housing market downturn appears to have ended, multiple sources said — but new construction is seeing a “slowdown.”
The Details: Home prices, which stabilized in recent months, are rising due to a shortage of pre-owned homes on the market. New single-family housing construction is rising in response; despite an overall drop in housing starts in June, single-family building permit applications hit a 12-month-high.
For Context: As remote workers moved into homes during the COVID-19 pandemic, housing demand outstripped supply, causing prices and construction to rise until late 2022, when the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes drove up mortgage rates. Some worried higher interest rates might lead housing prices to drop from their historic highs, but prices have risen slightly since early 2023. New housing construction also may relate to a push by city and state governments to remove zoning roadblocks to new construction, which activists say will lower costs by raising supply.
How the Media Covered It: Some coverage was optimistic, but most articles painted a more complicated picture. The Washington Post (Lean Left bias) attributed faster home construction to “mended supply chains for materials from tiles to garage doors.” The Hill (Center bias) framed rising prices and low supply as inflationary and bad for home buyers. While Washington Examiner (Right bias) focused on low overall construction in June, Reuters (Center bias) focused on higher single-family construction permits.
Featured Coverage of this Story
From the Center
Four things to know about the rapidly changing housing marketHome prices are ticking up amid a sustained housing shortage, making it even more difficult for people to enter the market.
Mortgage rates remain well above recent historic lows, and even with new homes coming on the market soon, according to recent data, experts don’t expect first-time buyers to see lower prices right away.
Home prices are moving up largely due to inventory constraints, especially at the lower end of the market, where fierce demand leads to bidding wars. The intense competition drives home prices higher — and often above what many would-be...
From the Left
The housing market recession is already endingThe housing market is looking up for Donnie Evans. The Dallas-area builder can finish houses six weeks faster than he could during the pandemic, thanks to mended supply chains for materials from tiles to garage doors. There’s plenty of buyer demand for his homes, which range in price from about $250,000 to $850,000, even as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate hovers near 7 percent, more than twice what it was just 18 months ago.
“We’re not in a recession,” Evans said. “We’re in a slowdown, somewhat. But I don’t think a recession...
From the Right
Housing starts fall 8% despite other signs of a warming housing marketThe number of housing starts declined in June, an indication there are still some challenges in a housing market that has shown signs of heating up in recent months after being battered by the Federal Reserve's rate hikes.
Housing starts measure the change in the number of new residential buildings that began construction. Starts fell 8% from May to this past month, according to a Wednesday report from the Census Bureau. They are now at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.43 million. From May 2022, they fell 8.1%.
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