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Confirmation Bias

Also called confirmatory bias or myside bias, this is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one's beliefs or hypotheses, while giving disproportionately less consideration to alternative possibilities.  Research suggests that this effect is stronger for emotionally-charged debates or deeply entrenched convictions.  When the evidence is ambiguous, people also tend to take that as supporting their existing position. 

Francis Bacon described this centuries ago, as follows, โ€œThe human understanding when it has once adopted an opinion draws all things else to support and agree with it. And though there be a greater number and weight of instances to be found on the other side, yet these it either neglects and despises, or else by some distinction sets aside and rejects; in order that by this great and pernicious predetermination the authority of its former conclusions may remain inviolateโ€ (Novum Organum, 1620).

QUESTIONS TO PLAY WITH:

  • Can you recall a time in recent memory where you admit that confirmation bias was at play in your own experience? (Itโ€™s easier to recognize in others than in ourselves!)
  • If we all fall into confirmation bias, what ways do you think people can protect themselves against this - and ensure they are working to hear the full truth?  
  • Is confirmation bias always a bad thing?
  • -Do you ever look for disconfirming evidence for the things you believe? What might happen if you did?