Headline RoundupNovember 7th, 2022

Final Projections Point to Republicans Winning Control of Congress

Summary from the AllSides News Team

In headlines across the spectrum on 2022 Election Eve, a common theme is that Republicans seem slightly favored to win control of Congress.

What the Polls and Analysts Say: Many major polls suggest a close Senate race, and most project Republicans to win by a slight margin. Most also expect Republicans to win control of the House of Representatives comfortably. The AllSides interactive 2022 midterm elections forecasting model gives Republicans an 80% chance of taking the House and a 66% chance in the Senate.

For Context: It's always possible that polls are overstating enthusiasm. But Republicans have slowly gained momentum in key races, voters are upset with inflation, and the sitting president's party traditionally performs poorly in midterm elections.

How the Media Covered It: Right-rated sources focused mainly on GOP optimism heading into Tuesday. Some left- and center-rated sources, such as The Hill (Center bias), did as well. CNN's homepage Monday was notably focused on House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy's (R-Calif.) plans if Republicans win. Both Wall Street Journal and Axios (Center bias) highlighted growing support for Republicans among black and Latino voters. Some left- and center-rated sources instead focused on signs of Democrats "catching up" to the GOP or staging a "surprise" on Election Day, and many highlighted how results may take days or weeks to be fully counted. NBC News's (Lean Left bias) lead story Monday said a "spiral of violence and fear is creating angst for many voters" ahead of the elections.

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