Headline RoundupMay 29th, 2024

Will Trump Be Convicted in His New York Hush Money Trial?

Summary from the AllSides News Team

The hush money trial against former President Donald Trump is now in the hands of the jury. Will Trump be convicted, and what would that mean?

What Happens Next? If the verdict is guilty, Trump should be able to leave the court until Justice Juan Merchan schedules a sentencing hearing, which could result in a fine, probation or supervision, or possibly prison time. The 34 charges are considered class E, lowest-tier, felonies that could carry a maximum of 4 years each, though prison time is considered unlikely. Any subsequent appeal to the verdict would likely take months while Trump remains free. Throughout the trial, Trump has been free on bail.

Impact On 2024 Presidential Election: In crucial battleground states, Trump currently holds a slight edge over President Joe Biden in both national polling and in public opinion surveys. But a guilty verdict could sway November's presidential election, with 53% of voters in battleground states saying they would not vote for Trump if he is convicted, according to Bloomberg (Lean left bias). If Trump wins the election, he would not be able to pardon himself if found guilty, since the hush money case is a state matter, and not a federal offense.

How The Media Covered It: Fox News Digital (Right bias) noted that a guilty verdict could result in a small but decisive drop in support for Trump. CBS News (Lean left bias) noted that Judge Merchan has a wide leeway in determining a punishment for Trump if he is found guilty, and that the sentence could include house arrest or probation.

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