Election Coverage: Is Texas a Swing State?

Headline Roundup October 28th, 2020

This week, presidential election projections from NBC News (Lean Left) and Cook Political Report (Center) both moved Texas from “lean Republican” to “toss up.” RealClearPolitics (Center) also marks Texas as a toss up, and FiveThirtyEight (Center) predicts President Donald Trump has a 70% chance to win the state. Over 7 million Texans have already voted early, just 2 million less than the total amount of Texas votes cast in 2016. With Texas’ 38 electoral college votes, the historically red state could have a significant impact on the election's outcome. The last Democratic presidential candidate to win Texas was Jimmy Carter in 1976.

Coverage was generally balanced on all sides, often covering voter turnout and recent polling data. Some outlets on all sides also featured analysis on Texas’ long-term political future.

Election Coverage: Is Texas a Swing State?

From the Left
308
ANALYSIS

Joe Biden’s campaign will be running television ads in El Paso, San Antonio and Dallas-Fort Worth heading into Election Day. The Democratic nominee for vice president, Kamala Harris, is planning a visit to Texas during the homestretch of the campaign. And polls show the Biden-Harris ticket within striking distance — and, in some surveys, ahead — in the traditionally Republican state.

Texas may still not be among the top priorities of either party’s presidential nominee in 2020 — and President Donald Trump might still be the favorite here. But the...

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From the Center
308
ANALYSIS

Less than a week out from Election Day and President Donald Trump is playing catch-up. In 2016, he won 30 states (and Maine's 2nd Congressional District) and their 306 electoral votes. Today, just 20 states, worth 125 electoral votes, are safely in his column. Former Vice President Joe Biden is holding 24 states worth 290 electoral votes in his column.

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From the Right
308
ANALYSIS

Some pundits and a whole lot of excited Democrats project the once fiery-red Lone Star State to be on the verge of going blue — or at least turning a shade of purple. Such a flip would upend national politics and threaten to put Republicans out of reach of the White House for a generation; Texas’s 38 electoral votes put it just behind California, which has 55, for the most. But the battle for Texas is likely to be a prolonged affair, a multiyear war of attrition that both parties...

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