Hear Me Out: Trump Won’t Run Again

After the 2016 election, I was hanging out with a group of friends discussing how badly the press had screwed up its predictions about Donald Trump’s chances at victory—seeing as how he had just won the presidency, despite the apparent odds.

One attendee, a fellow political journalist, came up with a particularly evocative metaphor for the situation. “It’s like we were weather reporters who told viewers that it was a sunny day to go to the beach, and instead there was a Category 4 hurricane,” he said.

To a certain...