China Likely to Have ‘At Least’ 1,000 Nukes by 2030, Pentagon Estimates

A new report says China’s nuclear arsenal is likely to be far bigger than the Pentagon predicted last year—the latest sign of what Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Mark Milley is calling “one of the largest shifts in global geostrategic power that the world has witnessed.”

Released Wednesday, this year’s edition of “Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China” says China will likely have 700 operational warheads by 2027 and 1,000—or more—by 2030, “exceeding the pace and size that DOD projected in 2020.” 

For China, 2027 is a publicly...