Trump’s path to 270 electoral votes, explained

It’s not the most likely scenario. But it’s not impossible.

President Donald Trump is polling significantly worse than he was at this point in 2016, both nationally and in key states. His chances of victory in the FiveThirtyEight forecast model (11 percent) are lower than they ended up last time (28 percent), as of October 28.

But those chances aren’t zero. So what would it take for Trump to win?

The most likely victory scenario for the president is a bit of a stretch, but not that complicated.

First, he...