Republicans Could Hold the Senate Even If Trump Loses

Republican fears of an electoral disaster for the Senate GOP are well-founded. They could narrowly lose control of the upper chamber. They could suffer a Chernobyl-like meltdown.

But the conventional wisdom seems to have grown too bearish on the GOP odds of holding the Senate.

The defeat of the deeply unpopular Kris Kobach in Tuesday’s Kansas GOP Senate primary, along with fresh polling this week out of Iowa and Montana showing Republicans ahead, suggests that Republicans have a decent chance of narrowly holding onto the upper chamber even if Joe...